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European Economic Forecast, Spring 2022 184 The role of savings in determining the recovery path May 2021 Will consumers save the EU recovery? Insights from the Commission's consumer survey Spillovers from 2021 US fiscal policy The pandemic and inflation: technical factors driving volatility The incorporation of the Recovery and Resilience Facility in the forecast An update on the tourism sector: insights from big data February 2021 The Trade and Cooperation Agreement between the EU and the UK and model simulation of the short-term economic impact of the included Free Trade Agreement The road out of the crisis: an update of alternative scenarios The road out of the crisis remains bumpy and uncertain November 2020 Macroeconomic effects of Next Generation EU Tourism in pandemic times: an analysis using real-time big data Technical specifications underpinning the QUEST simulations of NGEU Some technical elements behind the forecast Technical assumption on the future trading relations between the EU and the UK and model simulation of their economic impact The inclusion of Next Generation EU and its Recovery and Resilience Facility in the forecast The impact and recovery from COVID-19: a model-based scenario analysis July 2020 How the pandemic shaped the forecast May 2020 Global value chains and protectionism November 2019 What is behind the slowdown? A model-based analysis of growth drivers The procyclicality of potential output Looking at euro area GDP growth in 2019 through the lens of an estimated model May 2019 Euro area banks 10 years after the crisis The impact of European Structural and Investment Funds on near-term forecasting Changes to HICP methodology How resilient is the economy to oil price shocks? November 2018 Implications of higher yields for the banking sector and private sector funding in the euro area Euro area GDP growth drivers in 2019 – analysis using a structural model